Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Cardiff City have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. Watford have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Cardiff City score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Cardiff City average 7.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Watford score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Watford average 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 54% against the records' 31%.
The read. No firm call: Cardiff City are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cardiff City the likelier winners; Cardiff City are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cardiff City 1-1 Watford (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cardiff City or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.10
CAR 6 of 8 (75%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)81.2%
Cardiff City: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
CAR 8 of 8 (100%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)97.5%
Cardiff City: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level
CARDIFF CITY GOALS
Cardiff City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
CAR 6 of 8 (75%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)77.2%
Cardiff City scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Watford conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level
WATFORD GOALS
Watford Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
CAR 5 of 8 (62%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)44.6%
Watford scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Watford: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Watford's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
CAR 7 of 8 (88%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%
Cardiff City: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Watford: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.7%
Cardiff City goals →
Watford goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CARDIFF CITYWLDLLDLDDW1.00 PPG
WATFORDLLWLLDLDWW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CARDIFF CITY HOMExWATFORD AWAY
1.25SCORED A GAME0.881.50CONCEDED A GAME1.250%CLEAN SHEETS10%7.88CORNERS A GAME3.632.25CARDS A GAME2.88
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
WATFORD 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.78POINTS A GAME0.89-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.78+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.30.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Cardiff City: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CARDIFF CITY OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
WATFORD OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CARDIFF CITYxWATFORD
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.212.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cardiff City have scored in 80% of their games.
Watford have scored in 60% of their games.
Cardiff City kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Watford kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards