GERMANY - 3. LIGA
18:00Tue 13 Oct
MSV
MD
1. FC Saarbrucken vs MSV Duisburg
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Over 1.5 Goals
1. FC Saarbrucken v MSV Duisburg
1.20odds
83%book
+6edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. 3. Liga. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. 1. FC Saarbrucken have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. MSV Duisburg have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. 1. FC Saarbrucken score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. 1. FC Saarbrucken average 12.9 shots (5.1 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. MSV Duisburg score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. MSV Duisburg average 11.8 shots (5.7 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. 1. FC Saarbrucken's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. MSV Duisburg to win. A draw is live. An open game. MSV Duisburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MSV Duisburg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 82% on the records (1. FC Saarbrucken: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; MSV Duisburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: MSV Duisburg win or both teams score at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: MSV Duisburg (the signs point different ways); MSV Duisburg or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); MSV Duisburg or draw and over 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: 1. FC Saarbrucken 1-2 MSV Duisburg (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
MSV Duisburg or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%
MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 93% · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
MSV Duisburg win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.22
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%
MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 93% · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
MSV Duisburg or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 5 of 5 (100%)86.6%
MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 86% · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
MSV Duisburg (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 3 of 5 (60%)63.2%
MSV Duisburg won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · 1. FC Saarbrucken lost 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · MSV Duisburg: only games against sides at 1. FC Saarbrucken's level · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · won 6, refunded 2, lost 3
MSV Duisburg or draw and both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
2.15
FCS 2 of 5 (40%) · MSV 3 of 5 (60%)55.5%
1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 46% · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 4 of 5 (80%)88.6%
1. FC Saarbrucken: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · MSV Duisburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.53
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 4 of 5 (80%)69.8%
1. FC Saarbrucken: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · MSV Duisburg: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division
1. FC SAARBRUCKEN GOALS
1. FC Saarbrucken Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 4 of 5 (80%)82.2%
1. FC Saarbrucken scored in 4 of 5 at home · MSV Duisburg conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division
MSV DUISBURG GOALS
MSV Duisburg Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 5 of 5 (100%)84.3%
MSV Duisburg scored in 4 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 93% · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
MSV Duisburg Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
FCS 3 of 5 (60%) · MSV 3 of 5 (60%)50.1%
MSV Duisburg scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 62% · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division
2nd Half - MSV Duisburg Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.64
FCS 4 of 5 (80%) · MSV 3 of 5 (60%)72.1%
MSV Duisburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · 1. FC Saarbrucken: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · MSV Duisburg: only games in 1. FC Saarbrucken's division · 1. FC Saarbrucken: only games in MSV Duisburg's division
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: MSV Duisburg (the numbers (33%) and the records (76%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); MSV Duisburg or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); MSV Duisburg or draw and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (29%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 7.5%
1. FC Saarbrucken goals →
MSV Duisburg goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
1. FC SAARBRUCKENWDLWLDWWLL1.40 PPG
MSV DUISBURGWWLWWLWWDD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
1. FC SAARBRUCKEN HOMExMSV DUISBURG AWAY
2.71SCORED A GAME2.711.71CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS30%7.43CORNERS A GAME7.002.10CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.57POINTS A GAME2.62+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.62+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.47LEAGUE GAMES8
MSV Duisburg: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
MSV DUISBURG 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 85/90
1. FC SAARBRUCKEN OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
MSV DUISBURG OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
1. FC SAARBRUCKENxMSV DUISBURG
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE100%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.011.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
1. FC Saarbrucken have scored in 80% of their games.
MSV Duisburg have scored in 100% of their games.
1. FC Saarbrucken kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
MSV Duisburg kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards