Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Estepona have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. Club Atletico Central have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. CD Estepona score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Estepona average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Club Atletico Central score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Club Atletico Central average 7.7 shots (3.3 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Club Atletico Central the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour CD Estepona.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Estepona 0-3 Club Atletico Central (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 7 of 8 (88%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%
CD Estepona: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Club Atletico Central: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at Club Atletico Central's level · Club Atletico Central: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 7 of 8 (88%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)79.9%
CD Estepona: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Club Atletico Central: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at Club Atletico Central's level · Club Atletico Central: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
CLUB ATLETICO CENTRAL GOALS
Club Atletico Central Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 6 of 8 (75%)89.3%
Club Atletico Central scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estepona conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Club Atletico Central: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · CD Estepona: only games against sides at Club Atletico Central's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)90%
CD Estepona's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Club Atletico Central's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Club Atletico Central: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–39.6%
CD Estepona goals →
Club Atletico Central goals ↓
0-06%
1-03%
2-01%
3-00.3%
4-00.1%
5-00.0%
0-111%
1-19%
2-13%
3-10.7%
4-10.1%
5-10.0%
0-213%
1-29%
2-23%
3-20.8%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-310%
1-37%
2-33%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-45%
1-44%
2-41%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-52%
1-52%
2-50.6%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ESTEPONAWWDDWDLWLW1.80 PPG
CLUB ATLETICO CENTRALWLWWDWLLWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ESTEPONA HOMExCLUB ATLETICO CENTRAL AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.40CORNERS A GAME3.443.80CARDS A GAME3.56
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.20+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
CD ESTEPONA OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
CLUB ATLETICO CENTRAL OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ESTEPONAxCLUB ATLETICO CENTRAL
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Estepona have scored in 90% of their games.
Club Atletico Central have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Estepona kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Club Atletico Central kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards