CF La Nucia vs CF Lorca Deportiva
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF La Nucia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. CF Lorca Deportiva have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.
The numbers. CF La Nucia score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CF La Nucia average 10.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CF Lorca Deportiva score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CF Lorca Deportiva average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 55% against the records' 75%.
The read. No firm call: CF La Nucia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF La Nucia the likelier winners; CF La Nucia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF La Nucia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF La Nucia 1-1 CF Lorca Deportiva (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).