Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Jong KRC Genk
Match details. Challenger Pro League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Jong KRC Genk have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen average 8.3 shots (2.5 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Jong KRC Genk score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Jong KRC Genk average 7.9 shots (3.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Patro Eisden Maasmechelen the likelier winners, but Jong KRC Genk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Jong KRC Genk.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 91%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 93% on the records (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; Jong KRC Genk: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Jong KRC Genk win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2-1 Jong KRC Genk (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).