Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica. The referee is Ante Terzic.
What's at stake. NK Slaven Belupo are 8th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, level on points with Rudes. A win would take them above NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. HNK Rijeka are 5th on 14 points after 7 games, 1 point behind NK Varazdin, 2 points clear of Istra 1961. A win would take them above NK Varazdin.
Team news. K. Sentić is their first-choice keeper. D. Kovačić is their centre-back. I. Cvetko is their centre-back. NK Slaven Belupo's line-up is confirmed. A. Todorović is their first-choice keeper. T. Fruk is their main creator. HNK Rijeka's line-up is confirmed.
Form. NK Slaven Belupo have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. HNK Rijeka have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. NK Slaven Belupo score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. NK Slaven Belupo average 10.2 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. HNK Rijeka score 1.3 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. HNK Rijeka average 13.9 shots (6.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NK Slaven Belupo have won one, drawn three and lost six. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and HNK Rijeka won two. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished NK Slaven Belupo 0-2 HNK Rijeka.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. HNK Rijeka without A. Todorović (keeper), T. Fruk (creator). Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. HNK Rijeka or the draw. A tight game. HNK Rijeka are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour HNK Rijeka; the meetings favour HNK Rijeka. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); HNK Rijeka or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 2nd Half - HNK Rijeka Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 1-1 HNK Rijeka (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).