Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon
Match details. Round nine of LaLiga 2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time at Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz. Referee is Saul Ais Reig.
What's at stake. Cadiz sit 19th with 7 points after 8 games, one point behind Real Sociedad II and level with FC Andorra. A win would lift them above Real Sociedad II. Sporting Gijon are 8th on 13 points, one point off Burgos and two clear of Granada CF. A victory would push them ahead of Burgos.
Form. Cadiz have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five are W D L L L and in the competition they have gone W D L L L D. Sporting Gijon have four wins, one draw and three losses in their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five read W L W L L and in the league they have gone W L W L L W.
The numbers. At home Cadiz average 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against in the last five, keeping two clean sheets. They fire about 12.2 shots per game, 3.9 on target, earn 4.1 corners and receive 3.5 cards, holding 52% of possession. Sporting Gijon score one and concede one on average over their last eight, with three clean sheets. They average 10.8 shots, 4.1 on target, 3.5 corners, 3.1 cards and 50% possession.
Head to head. In their last nine meetings Cadiz have three wins, two draws and four losses. Three of those games went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in two. In the most recent four encounters each side has won two. The last meeting on 19 Apr 2026 ended 0-3 to Sporting Gijon, with Cadiz on 11 shots to 15, 49% possession and seven yellow cards.
The case against. Sporting Gijon's record still gives them a 46% chance to win.
The read. Cadiz or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Sporting Gijon are the stronger side on form and the table, both teams' records favour Sporting Gijon, their goals for and against point to a tight game, over-2.5 goals sit at 38% and six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cadiz or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cadiz 1-1 Sporting Gijon (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).