Match details. This is a Saudi Pro League clash. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al-Shabab have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Al-Taawoun have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. Al-Shabab score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Al-Taawoun score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 12.8 shots (4.0 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al-Shabab FC (SA) 1-1 Al-Taawoun FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).