Mallorca vs Las Palmas
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. The referee is Gorka Etayo Herrera.
What's at stake. Mallorca are 6th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Girona, level on points with Burgos. A win would take them above Girona. Las Palmas are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Celta de Vigo II, level on points with Eldense. A win would take them above Celta de Vigo II.
Form. Mallorca have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. Las Palmas have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Mallorca score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Mallorca average 10.6 shots (4.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Las Palmas score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Las Palmas average 9.3 shots (3.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Mallorca have won four, drawn three and lost one. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Mallorca won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 16 Feb 2025, it finished Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas: Mallorca had 14 shots to 9, 49% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Las Palmas's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Mallorca to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Mallorca the likelier winners; Mallorca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mallorca; the meetings favour Mallorca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 74% on the records (Mallorca: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Las Palmas: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Mallorca or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Las Palmas Under 1.5 goals (Las Palmas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).