Match details. National Womens Soccer League. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Washington Spirit have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Gotham FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Washington Spirit score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Washington Spirit average 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Gotham FC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gotham FC average 4.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 42% against the records' 66%.
The read. No firm call: Gotham FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Gotham FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gotham FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Washington Spirit 1-1 Gotham FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).