FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK

Match details. 1. Division, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Monjasa Park, Fredericia. The referee is F. Iriskic.

What's at stake. FC Fredericia are 3rd on 17 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Vejle, 3 points clear of Aalborg. A win would take them above Vejle. Hobro IK are 5th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Aalborg, 1 point clear of Aarhus Fremad. A win would take them above Aalborg.

Form. FC Fredericia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Hobro IK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L.

The numbers. FC Fredericia score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Fredericia average 7.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Hobro IK score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hobro IK average 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Fredericia have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Fredericia won two, one was drawn and Hobro IK won one. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2024, it finished FC Fredericia 4-1 Hobro IK.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 39%.

The read. No firm call: FC Fredericia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Fredericia the likelier winners; FC Fredericia are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FC Fredericia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Fredericia are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Fredericia are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Fredericia 1-1 Hobro IK (13% chance).