Match details. League 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at New Central Park, Kelty.
What's at stake. Kelty Hearts FC are 5th on 12 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Spartans, level on points with Dumbarton. A win would take them level on points with Spartans. Forfar Athletic FC are 7th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Dumbarton, level on points with Stirling Albion. A win would take them above Dumbarton.
Form. Kelty Hearts FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Kelty Hearts FC have gone L W L L W L. Forfar Athletic FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Forfar Athletic FC have gone L L W L L D.
The numbers. Kelty Hearts FC score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Kelty Hearts FC average 0.0 cards a game. Forfar Athletic FC score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Forfar Athletic FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Kelty Hearts FC have won two, drawn two and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kelty Hearts FC won one, one was drawn and Forfar Athletic FC won two. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished Kelty Hearts FC 0-1 Forfar Athletic FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Kelty Hearts FC the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Forfar Athletic FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Forfar Athletic FC's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. Kelty Hearts FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kelty Hearts FC the likelier winners; the meetings favour Forfar Athletic FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kelty Hearts FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kelty Hearts FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kelty Hearts FC 1-1 Forfar Athletic FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).