INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

UGUNI

17:45Thu 15 Oct

REA

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class A

UGv

Double Chance: Union Gilloise or…

Union Gilloise v Real Sociedad

International Clubs -… · 17:45

1.49odds

67%book

+11edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. UEL, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Den Dreef Stadium, Heverley, a neutral ground. The referee is Goga Kikacheishvili.

What's at stake. Union Gilloise are 5th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Beşiktaş, level on points with Ferencvarosi TC. A win would take them above Beşiktaş. Real Sociedad are 22nd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Jagiellonia, level on points with Anderlecht. A win would take them above Jagiellonia.

Team news. Union Gilloise are without A. Ait El Hadj (off the roster), R. Florucz (red card), I. Hurtevent (knock), O. Kricfalusi (knock), K. Mac Allister (knee injury), I. Pavlic (off the roster). K. Mac Allister is their centre-back. Real Sociedad are without J. Aramburu (muscle injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), J. Aramburu (muscle injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury).

Form. Union Gilloise have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Union Gilloise have gone W. Real Sociedad have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Real Sociedad have gone L.

The numbers. Union Gilloise score 2.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Union Gilloise average 17.8 shots (7.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Real Sociedad score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Real Sociedad average 14.1 shots (5.2 on target), 7.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

The case against. Union Gilloise without K. Mac Allister (centre-back). Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The read. Union Gilloise or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Gilloise the likelier winners; Union Gilloise are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Union Gilloise.

The bets. Best bet: Union Gilloise or Draw at 1.49, 81% on the records (Union Gilloise unbeaten in 10 of 10; Real Sociedad failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Union Gilloise 2-0 Real Sociedad (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Union Gilloise or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.32

UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 10 of 10 (100%)86.7%

Union Gilloise scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away

2nd Half - Double Chance: Union Gilloise or Real SociedadPAGE ONLY

1.41

UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · REA 8 of 10 (80%)79.8%

Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance: Union Gilloise or DrawMAININ CODES

1.49

UNI 10 of 10 (100%) · REA 6 of 10 (60%)78%

Union Gilloise unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against

Union Gilloise to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.69

UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)75.1%

Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against · the call is Union Gilloise or the draw: Union Gilloise without K. Mac Allister (centre-back) (rule 3)

Union Gilloise 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.60

UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)63.3%

Union Gilloise scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad trailed in 2 of 5 away · the call is Union Gilloise or the draw: Union Gilloise without K. Mac Allister (centre-back) (rule 3)

1X2 - 2UP: Union GilloiseTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 43%

2.34

UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)63.3%

Union Gilloise scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 away · the call is Union Gilloise or the draw: Union Gilloise without K. Mac Allister (centre-back) (rule 3)

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · REA 10 of 10 (100%)94.6%

Union Gilloise: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.17

UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)90.4%

Union Gilloise: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES

1.33

UNI 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)75%

Union Gilloise's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 10.7%

Union Gilloise goals →

Real Sociedad goals ↓

0-04%

1-09%

2-011%

3-08%

4-05%

5-02%

0-13%

1-19%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-30.5%

1-31%

2-31%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.3%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UNION GILLOISEDWDWWWWWWD2.40 PPG

REAL SOCIEDADDLLWDWLLWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UNION GILLOISE HOMExREAL SOCIEDAD AWAY

2.80SCORED A GAME1.400.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8060%CLEAN SHEETS10%12%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.38CORNERS A GAME7.882.00CARDS A GAME2.882.02xG1.211.11xG AGAINST1.77

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.43POINTS A GAME1.86+2.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29+5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.02.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

75%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 85/90

UNION GILLOISE OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

REAL SOCIEDAD OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UNION GILLOISExREAL SOCIEDAD

5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.69.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

UNION GILLOISE

Out: A. Ait El Hadj (Off the roster), R. Florucz (Red Card), I. Hurtevent (Knock), O. Kricfalusi (Knock), K. Mac Allister (Knee Injury), I. Pavlic (Off the roster)

REAL SOCIEDAD

Out: J. Aramburu (Muscle Injury), L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury), J. Aramburu (Muscle Injury), L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Union Gilloise have scored in 90% of their games.

Real Sociedad have scored in 70% of their games.

Union Gilloise kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Real Sociedad kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards