INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

NCNKC

17:45Thu 15 Oct

ACO

NK Celje vs AC Omonia Nicosia

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Cy1, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Z’dežele, Celje. The referee is Elcin Masiyev.

What's at stake. NK Celje are 31st on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with AC Milan, level on points with Marseille. A win would take them above AC Milan. AC Omonia Nicosia are 16th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Sunderland, 2 points clear of Sturm Graz. A win would take them above Sunderland.

Team news. NK Celje are without J. Pisek (knee injury), J. Pisek (knee injury). AC Omonia Nicosia are without A. Christou (inactive), C. Eiting (knee injury), F. Kitsos (knee injury), L. Brouwers (inactive), A. Christou (inactive), C. Eiting (knee injury).

Form. NK Celje have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition NK Celje have gone L. AC Omonia Nicosia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.

The numbers. NK Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Celje average 10.7 shots (3.6 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. AC Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. AC Omonia Nicosia average 15.3 shots (6.8 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The case against. NK Celje's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game.

The read. AC Omonia Nicosia or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Omonia Nicosia the likelier winners; AC Omonia Nicosia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Omonia Nicosia. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); AC Omonia Nicosia 1UP (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: AC Omonia Nicosia (no side to back). Predicted score: NK Celje 1-1 AC Omonia Nicosia (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Omonia Nicosia or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.37

NKC 5 of 5 (100%) · ACO 8 of 10 (80%)83.3%

AC Omonia Nicosia scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Celje trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or AC Omonia NicosiaPAGE ONLY

1.38

NKC 8 of 10 (80%) · ACO 7 of 10 (70%)75%

AC Omonia Nicosia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Celje: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

AC Omonia Nicosia (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 50%

1.99

NKC 6 of 8 (75%) · ACO 4 of 8 (50%)71.9%

AC Omonia Nicosia won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · NK Celje lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · won 3, refunded 0, lost 3

Double Chance: Draw or AC Omonia NicosiaLEANIN CODES

1.44

NKC 8 of 10 (80%) · ACO 6 of 10 (60%)67.2%

AC Omonia Nicosia unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Celje failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

NKC 9 of 10 (90%) · ACO 7 of 10 (70%)86.5%

NK Celje: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Omonia Nicosia: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.49

NKC 7 of 10 (70%) · ACO 8 of 10 (80%)75%

NK Celje: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Omonia Nicosia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (the numbers (54%) and the records (75%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); AC Omonia Nicosia 1UP (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: AC Omonia Nicosia (no side to back)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 9.3%

NK Celje goals →

AC Omonia Nicosia goals ↓

0-04%

1-04%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-16%

1-19%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-210%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-37%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-43%

1-44%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-51%

1-52%

2-51%

3-50.5%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK CELJEWWDLWLLLDW1.40 PPG

AC OMONIA NICOSIAWLWDLWDWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK CELJE HOMExAC OMONIA NICOSIA AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.701.10CONCEDED A GAME0.6030%CLEAN SHEETS50%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%2.00CORNERS A GAME6.702.10CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NK CELJE 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME2.20+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.80+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.29LEAGUE GAMES5

AC Omonia Nicosia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

AC OMONIA NICOSIA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

NK CELJE OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

AC OMONIA NICOSIA OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK CELJExAC OMONIA NICOSIA

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.401.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

NK CELJE

Out: J. Pisek (Knee Injury), J. Pisek (Knee Injury)

AC OMONIA NICOSIA

Out: A. Christou (Inactive), C. Eiting (Knee Injury), F. Kitsos (Knee Injury), L. Brouwers (Inactive), A. Christou (Inactive), C. Eiting (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

NK Celje have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Omonia Nicosia have scored in 60% of their games.

NK Celje kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AC Omonia Nicosia kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards