Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor
Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya.
What's at stake. Antalyaspor are 7th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Mardin 1969, level on points with Sarıyer. A win would take them above Mardin 1969. Kayserispor are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Bursaspor.
Form. Antalyaspor have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Kayserispor have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. Antalyaspor score two and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Antalyaspor average 10.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Kayserispor score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Kayserispor average 11.6 shots (5.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Antalyaspor have won two, drawn four and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Antalyaspor won one, one was drawn and Kayserispor won two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished Antalyaspor 0-1 Kayserispor: Antalyaspor had 11 shots to 15, 47% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Antalyaspor's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Kayserispor to win. An open game. Kayserispor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kayserispor; the meetings favour Kayserispor.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Antalyaspor Under 1.5 goals (Antalyaspor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Antalyaspor 1-2 Kayserispor (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).