PLPAI

17:00Wed 14 Oct

TAR

Paide Linnameeskond vs Tartu JK Tammeka

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Paide linnastaadion.

What's at stake. Paide Linnameeskond are 3rd on 51 points after 30 games, 4 points behind Flora Tallinn, 1 point clear of Kalju Nomme. Tartu JK Tammeka are 5th on 47 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Kalju Nomme, 9 points clear of Laagri. A win would take them level on points with Kalju Nomme. Tartu JK Tammeka have nothing left to play for.

Form. Paide Linnameeskond have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Tartu JK Tammeka have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.

The numbers. Paide Linnameeskond score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Paide Linnameeskond average 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Tartu JK Tammeka score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Tartu JK Tammeka average 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Paide Linnameeskond have won eight, drawn none and lost one. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Paide Linnameeskond won three and Tartu JK Tammeka won one. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 Tartu JK Tammeka.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Tartu JK Tammeka's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. Paide Linnameeskond to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Paide Linnameeskond the likelier winners; Paide Linnameeskond are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paide Linnameeskond; the meetings favour Paide Linnameeskond. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Paide Linnameeskond or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Paide Linnameeskond are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Tartu JK Tammeka (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Paide Linnameeskond or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

PAI 8 of 9 (89%) · TAR 4 of 5 (80%)88.4%

Paide Linnameeskond: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level

Paide Linnameeskond or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.10

PAI 7 of 9 (78%) · TAR 3 of 5 (60%)76.6%

Paide Linnameeskond: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level

Paide Linnameeskond (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

PAI 5 of 8 (62%) · TAR 2 of 5 (40%)72.9%

Paide Linnameeskond won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Tartu JK Tammeka lost 2 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level · won 4, refunded 0, lost 5

Paide Linnameeskond to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

PAI 5 of 9 (56%) · TAR 2 of 5 (40%)60.5%

Paide Linnameeskond won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level

Paide Linnameeskond 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.33

PAI 3 of 5 (60%) · TAR 5 of 9 (56%)51.9%

Paide Linnameeskond scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka trailed in 2 of 5 away · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level

1X2 - 2UP: Paide LinnameeskondSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.60

PAI 3 of 5 (60%) · TAR 5 of 9 (56%)51.9%

Paide Linnameeskond scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 away · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level · rule 2: the meetings back Paide Linnameeskond: in the last 9 meetings, Pai

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND GOALS

Paide Linnameeskond Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

PAI 7 of 9 (78%) · TAR 3 of 5 (60%)82.4%

Paide Linnameeskond scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Tammeka conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Paide Linnameeskond: only games against sides at Tartu JK Tammeka's level · Tartu JK Tammeka: only games against sides at Paide Linnameeskond's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Paide Linnameeskond or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Paide Linnameeskond are a clear winner - no Unders); Tartu JK Tammeka Under 1.5 goals (Tartu JK Tammeka's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Paide Linnameeskond or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Paide Linnameeskond are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.5%

Paide Linnameeskond goals →

Tartu JK Tammeka goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PAIDE LINNAMEESKONDLWWLWLWLWD1.60 PPG

TARTU JK TAMMEKAWWLLWLWLWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND HOMExTARTU JK TAMMEKA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.371.23CONCEDED A GAME1.5720%CLEAN SHEETS30%13%FAILED TO SCORE27%4.77CORNERS A GAME4.602.40CARDS A GAME2.57

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.10POINTS A GAME1.67+0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES9

Paide Linnameeskond: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

TARTU JK TAMMEKA OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PAIDE LINNAMEESKONDxTARTU JK TAMMEKA

6GAMES51.83SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME2.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%50%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND 8 · 89%DRAW 0TARTU JK TAMMEKA 1 · 11%

1 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-26Paide Linnameeskond 2 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2025-04-05Paide Linnameeskond 1 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2025-06-28Paide Linnameeskond 2 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2025-08-23Paide Linnameeskond 1 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2025-10-18Paide Linnameeskond 5 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2025-10-29Paide Linnameeskond 3 – 0 Tartu JK Tammeka

2026-04-12Paide Linnameeskond 4 – 1 Tartu JK Tammeka

2026-05-01Paide Linnameeskond 0 – 1 Tartu JK Tammeka

TRENDS

Paide Linnameeskond have scored in 80% of their games.

Tartu JK Tammeka have scored in 80% of their games.

Paide Linnameeskond kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Tartu JK Tammeka kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards