COSTA RICA - LIGA DE ASCENSO
01:00Mon 12 Oct
ADR
AR
Municipal Grecia vs AD Rosario
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Municipal Grecia have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. AD Rosario have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Municipal Grecia score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Municipal Grecia average 9.7 shots (3.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. AD Rosario score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AD Rosario average 8.3 shots (3.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. AD Rosario's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Municipal Grecia to win. A tight game. Municipal Grecia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Municipal Grecia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Municipal Grecia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AD Rosario Over 0.5 goals (Municipal Grecia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Municipal Grecia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Municipal Grecia 1-0 AD Rosario (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Municipal Grecia or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.17
MUN 5 of 5 (100%) · ADR 7 of 8 (88%)90.4%
Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · AD Rosario: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Municipal Grecia or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
MUN 5 of 5 (100%) · ADR 5 of 8 (62%)79.6%
Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Municipal Grecia 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MUN 4 of 5 (80%) · ADR 4 of 6 (67%)71.1%
Municipal Grecia scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AD Rosario trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Double Chance: Municipal Grecia or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
MUN 5 of 5 (100%) · ADR 4 of 8 (50%)68.2%
Municipal Grecia unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · AD Rosario failed to win 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Municipal Grecia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MUN 5 of 7 (71%) · ADR 3 of 7 (43%)55.8%
Municipal Grecia won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AD Rosario lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 57% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MUN 5 of 5 (100%) · ADR 8 of 8 (100%)95.6%
Municipal Grecia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AD Rosario: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
MUN 4 of 5 (80%) · ADR 7 of 8 (88%)88.8%
Municipal Grecia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AD Rosario: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
MUN 2 of 5 (40%) · ADR 6 of 8 (75%)51.8%
Municipal Grecia: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · AD Rosario: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
MUNICIPAL GRECIA GOALS
Municipal Grecia Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
MUN 5 of 5 (100%) · ADR 7 of 8 (88%)74.1%
Municipal Grecia scored in 5 of 5 at home · AD Rosario conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MUN 5 of 6 (83%) · ADR 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
Municipal Grecia's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AD Rosario's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Left off the list: Municipal Grecia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Rosario Over 0.5 goals (Municipal Grecia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Municipal Grecia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Municipal Grecia or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (73%) and the records (94%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.1%
Municipal Grecia goals →
AD Rosario goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MUNICIPAL GRECIAWDWWLWDDLW1.80 PPG
AD ROSARIODLLLWWLWDW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MUNICIPAL GRECIA HOMExAD ROSARIO AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.17CORNERS A GAME4.503.17CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME2.17+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6
AD Rosario: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
MUNICIPAL GRECIA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
AD ROSARIO OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MUNICIPAL GRECIAxAD ROSARIO
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.400.40CONCEDED A GAME1.001.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.420%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Municipal Grecia have scored in 80% of their games.
AD Rosario have scored in 80% of their games.
Municipal Grecia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
AD Rosario kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards