Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo.
What's at stake. CD Lugo are 2nd on 16 points after 6 games, level on points with UD Logroñés, 3 points clear of Racing Ferrol. A win would take them above UD Logroñés. UD Logrones are 1st on 16 points after 6 games, level on points with Lugo.
Form. CD Lugo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. UD Logrones have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. CD Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Lugo average 10.1 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. UD Logrones score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. UD Logrones average 10.7 shots (5.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Lugo have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2021, it finished CD Lugo 1-1 UD Logrones: CD Lugo had 11 shots to 5, 44% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. CD Lugo's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. UD Logrones to win. UD Logrones are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Logrones.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UD Logrones Over 0.5 goals (CD Lugo's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); UD Logrones 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Lugo 0-1 UD Logrones (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Logrones or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 6 of 6 (100%) · UDL 7 of 10 (70%)85%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or UD LogronesPAGE ONLY
1.37
CDL 6 of 6 (100%) · UDL 6 of 10 (60%)80%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 6 of 6 (100%) · UDL 5 of 10 (50%)75%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · UDL 6 of 6 (100%)69%
UD Logrones scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo trailed or failed to win in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 6 (83%) · UDL 4 of 10 (40%)61.7%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 10 of 10 (100%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)95.3%
CD Lugo: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 8 of 10 (80%) · UDL 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
CD Lugo: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 10 of 10 (100%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)88.2%
CD Lugo: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.29
CDL 8 of 10 (80%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)74.3%
CD Lugo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.88
CDL 4 of 10 (40%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)52.6%
CD Lugo: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD LUGO GOALS
CD Lugo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 8 of 10 (80%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)75%
CD Lugo scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 7 (57%) · UDL 5 of 6 (83%)70.2%
CD Lugo's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Left off the list: UD Logrones Over 0.5 goals (CD Lugo's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); UD Logrones 1UP (the numbers (48%) and the records (59%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.3%
CD Lugo goals →
UD Logrones goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CD LUGOWLWDWDWWWW2.30 PPG
UD LOGRONESWWWLWWWDWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD LUGO HOMExUD LOGRONES AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9060%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.892.14CARDS A GAME2.78
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.67POINTS A GAME2.67+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.33+1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.32.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD LUGO OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
UD LOGRONES OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD LUGOxUD LOGRONES
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.600.40CONCEDED A GAME1.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.89.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CD LUGO 1 · 50%DRAW 1UD LOGRONES 0 · 0%
2020-10-24CD Lugo 3 – 2 UD Logrones
2021-02-21CD Lugo 1 – 1 UD Logrones
TRENDS
CD Lugo have scored in 80% of their games.
UD Logrones have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Lugo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
UD Logrones kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards