CLCUL

15:00Mon 12 Oct

ARE

Cultural Leonesa vs Arenas Club Getxo

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Cultural Leonesa are 15th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Pontevedra, 1 point clear of Unionistas de Salamanca. A win would take them above Pontevedra. Arenas Club Getxo are 20th on 2 points after 6 games, 3 points behind UD Ourense. A win would take them level on points with UD Ourense.

Form. Cultural Leonesa have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Arenas Club Getxo have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.

The numbers. Cultural Leonesa score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Cultural Leonesa average 11.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Arenas Club Getxo score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Arenas Club Getxo average 11.3 shots (4.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2020, it finished Cultural Leonesa 2-1 Arenas Club Getxo.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Cultural Leonesa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cultural Leonesa the likelier winners; Cultural Leonesa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cultural Leonesa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cultural Leonesa Over 0.5 Goals (Cultural Leonesa's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Arenas Club Getxo (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CUL 6 of 6 (100%) · ARE 4 of 5 (80%)95.3%

Cultural Leonesa: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arenas Club Getxo: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at Arenas Club Getxo's level · Arenas Club Getxo: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CUL 6 of 6 (100%) · ARE 3 of 5 (60%)88.1%

Cultural Leonesa: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arenas Club Getxo: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at Arenas Club Getxo's level · Arenas Club Getxo: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.45

CUL 5 of 6 (83%) · ARE 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

Cultural Leonesa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arenas Club Getxo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at Arenas Club Getxo's level · Arenas Club Getxo: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CUL 6 of 6 (100%) · ARE 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%

Cultural Leonesa's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arenas Club Getxo's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at Arenas Club Getxo's level · Arenas Club Getxo: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level

Left off the list: Cultural Leonesa Over 0.5 Goals (Cultural Leonesa's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.5%

Cultural Leonesa goals →

Arenas Club Getxo goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-17%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CULTURAL LEONESALWLDDWLWDL1.20 PPG

ARENAS CLUB GETXOLDDWDLLLLD0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CULTURAL LEONESA HOMExARENAS CLUB GETXO AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.001.10CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS10%50%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.80CORNERS A GAME5.112.10CARDS A GAME2.44

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME0.40-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.40+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.46LEAGUE GAMES5

Cultural Leonesa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CULTURAL LEONESA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CULTURAL LEONESA OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ARENAS CLUB GETXO OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CULTURAL LEONESAxARENAS CLUB GETXO

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME2.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CULTURAL LEONESA 1 · 100%DRAW 0ARENAS CLUB GETXO 0 · 0%

2020-01-04Cultural Leonesa 2 – 1 Arenas Club Getxo

TRENDS

Cultural Leonesa have scored in 60% of their games.

Arenas Club Getxo have scored in 80% of their games.

Cultural Leonesa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Arenas Club Getxo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards