CSCAL

17:00Sun 11 Oct

RSD

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs RSD Alcala SAD

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano are 16th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Atlético Tordesillas, 1 point clear of Getafe II. A win would take them above Atlético Tordesillas. RSD Alcala SAD are 10th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Navalcarnero, level on points with Real Ávila. A win would take them above Navalcarnero.

Form. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. RSD Alcala SAD have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.

The numbers. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. RSD Alcala SAD score two and concede two a game over their last five, with one clean sheet.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The case against. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. RSD Alcala SAD to win. RSD Alcala SAD are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RSD Alcala SAD.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo Puertollano 0-1 RSD Alcala SAD (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

RSD Alcala SAD or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · RSD 3 of 5 (60%)80%

RSD Alcala SAD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level

RSD Alcala SAD or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · RSD 3 of 5 (60%)80%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · RSD 4 of 5 (80%)94.8%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RSD Alcala SAD: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · RSD 5 of 5 (100%)92.2%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RSD Alcala SAD: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · RSD 4 of 5 (80%)87.2%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RSD Alcala SAD: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · RSD 5 of 5 (100%)74.6%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RSD Alcala SAD: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level

RSD ALCALA SAD GOALS

RSD Alcala SAD Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · RSD 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%

RSD Alcala SAD scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · RSD 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · RSD Alcala SAD: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Calvo Sotelo Puertollano: only games against sides at RSD Alcala SAD's level · RSD Alcala SAD: only games against sides at Calvo Sotelo Puertollano's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.7%

Calvo Sotelo… goals →

RSD Alcala SAD goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 5

CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANOLDLWL0.80 PPG

RSD ALCALA SADWLWLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANO HOMExRSD ALCALA SAD AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME2.001.60CONCEDED A GAME2.0040%CLEAN SHEETS20%60%FAILED TO SCORE20%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CALVO SOTELO PUERTOLLANO OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

RSD ALCALA SAD OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano failed to score in 60% of their games.

RSD Alcala SAD failed to score in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table