PCPER

16:30Sun 11 Oct

VAD

Perugia Calcio Spa vs Vado FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia. The referee is A. Vincenzi.

What's at stake. Perugia Calcio Spa are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Livorno, 1 point clear of Guidonia Montecelio 1937. A win would take them above Livorno. Vado FC are 14th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Atalanta II, 1 point clear of Pianese. A win would take them above Atalanta II.

Form. Perugia Calcio Spa have won four, drawn one and lost three of their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Perugia Calcio Spa have gone W W L L L W. Vado FC have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Vado FC have gone W D L L L L.

The numbers. Perugia Calcio Spa score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vado FC score 0.8 and concede one a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal.

The case against. Vado FC's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Perugia Calcio Spa to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Perugia Calcio Spa the likelier winners; Perugia Calcio Spa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Perugia Calcio Spa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Vado FC Under 1.5 goals (Perugia Calcio Spa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Perugia Calcio Spa 1-0 Vado FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Perugia Calcio Spa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

PER 5 of 8 (62%) · VAD 8 of 8 (100%)81.3%

Perugia Calcio Spa: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

Perugia Calcio Spa (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.30

PER 4 of 7 (57%) · VAD 4 of 6 (67%)76%

Perugia Calcio Spa won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Vado FC lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 1

Perugia Calcio Spa to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

PER 4 of 8 (50%) · VAD 4 of 8 (50%)57.4%

Perugia Calcio Spa won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PER 8 of 8 (100%) · VAD 8 of 8 (100%)94.8%

Perugia Calcio Spa: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

PER 6 of 8 (75%) · VAD 6 of 8 (75%)72.7%

Perugia Calcio Spa: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.66

PER 3 of 8 (38%) · VAD 6 of 8 (75%)50.8%

Perugia Calcio Spa: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

PER 6 of 8 (75%) · VAD 6 of 8 (75%)75%

Perugia Calcio Spa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level

Left off the list: Vado FC Under 1.5 goals (Perugia Calcio Spa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.8%

Perugia Calcio Spa goals →

Vado FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-011%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.8%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

PERUGIA CALCIO SPAWDWLLLWW1.62 PPG

VADO FCWDLLLLDW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PERUGIA CALCIO SPA HOMExVADO FC AWAY

1.12SCORED A GAME0.751.50CONCEDED A GAME1.0025%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.62POINTS A GAME0.71-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES7

Perugia Calcio Spa: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PERUGIA CALCIO SPA OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

VADO FC OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PERUGIA CALCIO SPAxVADO FC

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%20%BOTH SCORE20%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Perugia Calcio Spa failed to score in 38% of their games.

Vado FC failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table