FFFOR

16:30Sun 11 Oct

USL

Forli FC vs US Livorno 1915

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli. The referee is G. Sacchi.

What's at stake. Forli FC are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Pescara, 1 point clear of Ostia Mare. A win would take them above Pescara. US Livorno 1915 are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Reggiana, 1 point clear of Perugia. A win would take them above Reggiana.

Form. Forli FC have won two, drawn four and lost two of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition Forli FC have gone L D D D W L. US Livorno 1915 have won four, drawn two and lost two of their last eight, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition US Livorno 1915 have gone L W D W L W.

The numbers. Forli FC score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Livorno 1915 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Forli FC have won one, drawn one and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished Forli FC 1-1 US Livorno 1915.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: US Livorno 1915 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Livorno 1915 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or US Livorno 1915 (no result call). Predicted score: Forli FC 1-1 US Livorno 1915 (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FOR 7 of 8 (88%) · USL 8 of 8 (100%)96.1%

Forli FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 3 · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

FOR 6 of 8 (75%) · USL 4 of 8 (50%)46.7%

Forli FC: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 3 · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level

FORLI FC GOALS

Forli FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

FOR 6 of 8 (75%) · USL 6 of 8 (75%)75.8%

Forli FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915 conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level

Forli FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

FOR 5 of 8 (62%) · USL 5 of 8 (62%)50%

Forli FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915 conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 3 · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level

US LIVORNO 1915 GOALS

US Livorno 1915 Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.31

FOR 5 of 8 (62%) · USL 8 of 8 (100%)58.8%

US Livorno 1915 scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forli FC conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 3 · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

FOR 5 of 8 (62%) · USL 7 of 8 (88%)73.8%

Forli FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Forli FC: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Forli FC's level

Left off the list: US Livorno 1915 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Livorno 1915 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or US Livorno 1915 (no result call); US Livorno 1915 or draw and both teams score (no result call); US Livorno 1915 win or both teams score (no result call); US Livorno 1915 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Forli FC goals →

US Livorno 1915 goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 8

FORLI FCDWLWDDDL1.25 PPG

US LIVORNO 1915WDWLWDWL1.75 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FORLI FC HOMExUS LIVORNO 1915 AWAY

1.62SCORED A GAME1.251.50CONCEDED A GAME1.120%CLEAN SHEETS25%25%FAILED TO SCORE38%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.57+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

FORLI FC OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

US LIVORNO 1915 OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FORLI FCxUS LIVORNO 1915

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.27.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

FORLI FC 1 · 33%DRAW 1US LIVORNO 1915 1 · 33%

3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-05-18Forli FC 1 – 3 US Livorno 1915

2025-11-02Forli FC 3 – 2 US Livorno 1915

2026-03-08Forli FC 1 – 1 US Livorno 1915

TRENDS

Forli FC failed to score in 25% of their games.

US Livorno 1915 failed to score in 38% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table