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SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
CD Ciudad de Lucena crestCCCDC
16:30Sun 11 Oct
CDDCD Don Benito crestCD

CD Ciudad de Lucena vs CD Don Benito

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Ciudad de Lucena are 5th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Tenerife II, level on points with Sevilla Atletico. A win would take them above Tenerife II. CD Don Benito are 3rd on 10 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Recreativo Huelva, 1 point clear of Tenerife II. A win would take them above Recreativo Huelva.

Form. CD Ciudad de Lucena have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. CD Don Benito have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.

The numbers. CD Ciudad de Lucena score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. CD Don Benito score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Ciudad de Lucena the likelier winners, but CD Don Benito are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CD Don Benito or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or CD Don Benito (no result call). Predicted score: CD Ciudad de Lucena 1-1 CD Don Benito (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDD 5 of 5 (100%)95.5%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDD 4 of 5 (80%)91.5%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDD 5 of 5 (100%)88.5%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDD 4 of 5 (80%)74.7%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
CDC 3 of 5 (60%) · CDD 2 of 5 (40%)53.2%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD DON BENITO GOALS
CD Don Benito Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 4 of 5 (80%) · CDD 3 of 5 (60%)66.1%
CD Don Benito scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Don Benito's level
Left off the list: CD Don Benito or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or CD Don Benito (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
CD Ciudad de Lucena goals →
CD Don Benito goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 5
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENADDLWW1.60 PPG
CD DON BENITOWWDWL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA HOMExCD DON BENITO AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.60POINTS A GAME2.00+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
CD DON BENITO OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENAxCD DON BENITO
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Ciudad de Lucena failed to score in 0% of their games.
CD Don Benito failed to score in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table
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