UMUCA

16:00Sun 11 Oct

CDA

UCAM Murcia vs CD Alcoyano

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia.

What's at stake. UCAM Murcia are 5th on 9 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Alcoyano, level on points with Intercity. A win would take them above Alcoyano. CD Alcoyano are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Castellonense, 1 point clear of Ucam Murcia. A win would take them above Castellonense.

Form. UCAM Murcia have won three, drawn none and lost two of their last five, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. CD Alcoyano have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.

The numbers. UCAM Murcia score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. CD Alcoyano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets.

Head to head. CD Alcoyano have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 5 Feb 2022, it finished UCAM Murcia 1-2 CD Alcoyano.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: UCAM Murcia are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour CD Alcoyano.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: UCAM Murcia 1-1 CD Alcoyano (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%

UCAM Murcia: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)91.9%

UCAM Murcia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 3 of 5 (60%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%

UCAM Murcia: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)73.8%

UCAM Murcia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level

CD ALCOYANO GOALS

CD Alcoyano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)71.4%

CD Alcoyano scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · UCAM Murcia conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UCAM Murcia's level · UCAM Murcia: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

UCAM Murcia goals →

CD Alcoyano goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 5

UCAM MURCIALWWLW1.80 PPG

CD ALCOYANODLWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UCAM MURCIA HOMExCD ALCOYANO AWAY

2.40SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.80POINTS A GAME2.00+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES5

UCAM Murcia: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

UCAM MURCIA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

CD ALCOYANO OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UCAM MURCIAxCD ALCOYANO

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

UCAM MURCIA 0 · 0%DRAW 0CD ALCOYANO 2 · 100%

2021-10-15UCAM Murcia 2 – 3 CD Alcoyano

2022-02-05UCAM Murcia 1 – 2 CD Alcoyano

TRENDS

UCAM Murcia failed to score in 0% of their games.

CD Alcoyano failed to score in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table