RAREA

16:00Sun 11 Oct

CDN

Real Avila CF vs CD Numancia

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Real Avila CF are 11th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with RSD Alcalá, 1 point clear of Guadalajara. A win would take them above RSD Alcalá. CD Numancia are 3rd on 11 points after 5 games, 1 point behind A Madrid III, 1 point clear of Conquense. A win would take them above A Madrid III.

Form. Real Avila CF have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. CD Numancia have won three, drawn two and lost none of their last five, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.

The numbers. Real Avila CF score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. CD Numancia score one and concede none a game over their last five, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Real Avila CF have won none, drawn two and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Real Avila CF 1-2 CD Numancia.

The read. CD Numancia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Numancia the likelier winners; CD Numancia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Numancia; the meetings favour CD Numancia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Real Avila CF 0-1 CD Numancia (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Numancia or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 4 of 5 (80%)91.4%

CD Numancia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level

Double Chance: Draw or CD NumanciaIN CODES

1.32

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 3 of 5 (60%)74.3%

CD Numancia unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF failed to win 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%

Real Avila CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Numancia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 5 of 5 (100%)89.7%

Real Avila CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Numancia: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%

Real Avila CF: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Numancia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level

CD NUMANCIA GOALS

CD Numancia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 3 of 5 (60%) · CDN 4 of 5 (80%)76.5%

CD Numancia scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 4 · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDN 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Numancia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 3 of 5 (60%) · CDN 5 of 5 (100%)82.9%

Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Numancia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Numancia's level · CD Numancia: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 11.7%

Real Avila CF goals →

CD Numancia goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5

REAL AVILA CFLLWWL1.20 PPG

CD NUMANCIAWWDWD2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL AVILA CF HOMExCD NUMANCIA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME0.0020%CLEAN SHEETS100%20%FAILED TO SCORE40%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME2.20-0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.25LEAGUE GAMES5

CD Numancia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CD NUMANCIA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

REAL AVILA CF OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

CD NUMANCIA OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL AVILA CFxCD NUMANCIA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME0.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

REAL AVILA CF 0 · 0%DRAW 2CD NUMANCIA 2 · 50%

1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-11-30Real Avila CF 0 – 0 CD Numancia

2025-04-13Real Avila CF 0 – 2 CD Numancia

2025-11-09Real Avila CF 0 – 0 CD Numancia

2026-04-12Real Avila CF 1 – 2 CD Numancia

TRENDS

Real Avila CF failed to score in 20% of their games.

CD Numancia failed to score in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table