Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Coruxo FC are 14th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Marino de Luanco, level on points with Gimnástica Torrelavega. A win would take them above Marino de Luanco. SD Compostela are 16th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Gimnástica Torrelavega, 1 point clear of Arosa. A win would take them above Gimnástica Torrelavega.
Form. Coruxo FC have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. SD Compostela have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. Coruxo FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. SD Compostela score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Coruxo FC have won two, drawn five and lost three. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Coruxo FC won one, one was drawn and SD Compostela won two. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2025, it finished Coruxo FC 2-0 SD Compostela.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Coruxo FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Compostela or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Coruxo FC 1-1 SD Compostela (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).