Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CDA Navalcarnero have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. Atletico Madrid C have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. CDA Navalcarnero score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CDA Navalcarnero average 3.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Atletico Madrid C score 2.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Madrid C average 2.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 54%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No firm call: Atletico Madrid C are the better side, but not at this price. Atletico Madrid C are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Madrid C.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CDA Navalcarnero 1-1 Atletico Madrid C (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).