CCCDC

16:00Sun 11 Oct

CFI

CD Cieza vs CF Intercity

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Cieza are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Intercity, level on points with Deportiva Minera. A win would take them above Intercity. CF Intercity are 6th on 9 points after 5 games, level on points with Ucam Murcia, 1 point clear of Cieza. A win would take them above Ucam Murcia.

Form. CD Cieza have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. CF Intercity have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.

The numbers. CD Cieza score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Cieza average 10.2 shots (3.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CF Intercity score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CF Intercity average 8.0 shots (2.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

The case against. CF Intercity's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. CD Cieza to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Cieza the likelier winners; CD Cieza are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Cieza 1-0 CF Intercity (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CFI 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%

CD Cieza: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CFI 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%

CD Cieza: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

CD CIEZA GOALS

CD Cieza Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 4 of 5 (80%) · CFI 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%

CD Cieza scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CFI 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

CD Cieza's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.6%

CD Cieza goals →

CF Intercity goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD CIEZADDDWWDWLDW1.70 PPG

CF INTERCITYLLLWWWDDWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD CIEZA HOMExCF INTERCITY AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.25CORNERS A GAME3.572.75CARDS A GAME3.57

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME1.80+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES5

CD Cieza: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD CIEZA OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

CF INTERCITY OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD CIEZAxCF INTERCITY

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Cieza have scored in 80% of their games.

CF Intercity have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Cieza kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CF Intercity kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards