ASARO

16:00Sun 11 Oct

BER

Arosa SC vs Bergantinos FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Arosa SC are 17th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Compostela, 2 points clear of Racing Santander II. A win would take them above Compostela. Bergantinos FC are 1st on 13 points after 5 games, level on points with Eibar II.

Form. Arosa SC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. Bergantinos FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Arosa SC score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Arosa SC average 9.7 shots (2.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Bergantinos FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Bergantinos FC average 12.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Arosa SC have won two, drawn two and lost three. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Bergantinos FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Apr 2024, it finished Arosa SC 0-0 Bergantinos FC.

The read. Bergantinos FC to win. An open game. Bergantinos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bergantinos FC; the meetings favour Bergantinos FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Arosa SC 1-2 Bergantinos FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Bergantinos FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%

Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level

Bergantinos FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%

Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 4 of 5 (80%) · BER 8 of 8 (100%)92.7%

Arosa SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 4 of 5 (80%) · BER 7 of 8 (88%)76%

Arosa SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 3 of 5 (60%) · BER 5 of 8 (62%)55.3%

Arosa SC: both scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 5 of 6 · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

AROSA SC GOALS

Arosa SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 3 of 5 (60%) · BER 5 of 8 (62%)70.6%

Arosa SC scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 5 of 6 · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

BERGANTINOS FC GOALS

Bergantinos FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 4 of 5 (80%)77.4%

Bergantinos FC scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 4 of 5 (80%) · BER 7 of 8 (88%)83.6%

Arosa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 5 of 6 (83%) · BER 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%

Arosa SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bergantinos FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9%

Arosa SC goals →

Bergantinos FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AROSA SCLWWWWDLDLD1.50 PPG

BERGANTINOS FCWLWDWWLWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AROSA SC HOMExBERGANTINOS FC AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.501.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.67CORNERS A GAME3.602.83CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.60POINTS A GAME2.60-1.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.65LEAGUE GAMES5

Bergantinos FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

BERGANTINOS FC 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

AROSA SC OR DRAW

39%

NO · 80/85

BERGANTINOS FC OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AROSA SCxBERGANTINOS FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.402.60CONCEDED A GAME1.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

AROSA SC 2 · 29%DRAW 2BERGANTINOS FC 3 · 43%

6 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-12-22Arosa SC 3 – 1 Bergantinos FC

2021-04-11Arosa SC 3 – 1 Bergantinos FC

2021-05-02Arosa SC 1 – 2 Bergantinos FC

2022-01-08Arosa SC 1 – 2 Bergantinos FC

2022-05-15Arosa SC 1 – 1 Bergantinos FC

2023-11-19Arosa SC 1 – 3 Bergantinos FC

2024-04-07Arosa SC 0 – 0 Bergantinos FC

TRENDS

Arosa SC have scored in 70% of their games.

Bergantinos FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Arosa SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Bergantinos FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards