Girona FC B vs Espanyol Barcelona B
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Girona FC B have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Espanyol Barcelona B have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Girona FC B score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Girona FC B average 9.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Espanyol Barcelona B score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Espanyol Barcelona B average 14.0 shots (5.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 41% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Girona FC B are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Girona FC B the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Girona FC B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Espanyol Barcelona B or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Girona FC B); Espanyol Barcelona B or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Girona FC B); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Girona FC B 2-1 Espanyol Barcelona B (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).