TCTUR

15:00Sun 11 Oct

SSM

Turris Calcio vs SS Manfredonia Calcio

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco.

What's at stake. Turris Calcio are 5th on 12 points after 6 games, level on points with Bisceglie, 1 point clear of Gravina. A win would take them above Bisceglie. SS Manfredonia Calcio are 7th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Gravina, 1 point clear of Real Normanna. A win would take them above Gravina.

Form. Turris Calcio have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. SS Manfredonia Calcio have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.

The numbers. Turris Calcio score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Turris Calcio average 9.5 shots (4.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. SS Manfredonia Calcio score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SS Manfredonia Calcio average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Turris Calcio 1-1 SS Manfredonia Calcio (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 5 of 6 (83%) · SSM 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%

Turris Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SS Manfredonia Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 92% · Turris Calcio: only games against sides at SS Manfredonia Calcio's level · SS Manfredonia Calcio: only games against sides at Turris Calcio's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TUR 5 of 6 (83%) · SSM 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%

Turris Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SS Manfredonia Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 92% · Turris Calcio: only games against sides at SS Manfredonia Calcio's level · SS Manfredonia Calcio: only games against sides at Turris Calcio's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Turris Calcio goals →

SS Manfredonia Calcio goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TURRIS CALCIOLDWWDDWWDD1.70 PPG

SS MANFREDONIA CALCIOLDWDLDDWWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TURRIS CALCIO HOMExSS MANFREDONIA CALCIO AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.301.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.17CORNERS A GAME4.001.83CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME2.20+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TURRIS CALCIO OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

SS MANFREDONIA CALCIO OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TURRIS CALCIOxSS MANFREDONIA CALCIO

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.800.40CONCEDED A GAME0.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Turris Calcio have scored in 70% of their games.

SS Manfredonia Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.

Turris Calcio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

SS Manfredonia Calcio kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards