Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano. The referee is J. Mbei.
What's at stake. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio are 15th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Savoia, 2 points clear of Team Altamura. A win would take them above Savoia. Salernitana are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Catania, level on points with AZ Picerno. A win would take them above Catania.
Form. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Salernitana have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio average 9.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Salernitana average 12.2 shots (4.9 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have won none, drawn one and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2026, it finished S.S.D. Casarano Calcio 0-3 Salernitana.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Salernitana or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Salernitana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Salernitana (no result call). Predicted score: S.S.D. Casarano Calcio 1-1 Salernitana (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).