Match details. Liga Portugal 3, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Academia Vitoria SC.
What's at stake. Vitoria Guimaraes B are 7th on 5 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Louletano. A win would take them above Louletano. FC Pacos Ferreira are 10th on 2 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Lusitano Évora 1911. A win would take them level on points with Lusitano Évora 1911.
Form. Vitoria Guimaraes B have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. FC Pacos Ferreira have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L L.
The numbers. Vitoria Guimaraes B score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vitoria Guimaraes B average 12.9 shots (3.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FC Pacos Ferreira score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Pacos Ferreira average 10.7 shots (3.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. FC Pacos Ferreira have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Mar 2019, it finished Vitoria Guimaraes B 1-4 FC Pacos Ferreira.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Vitoria Guimaraes B 1-1 FC Pacos Ferreira (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Vitoria Guimaraes B or DrawIN CODES
1.29
VIT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCP 9 of 10 (90%)75%
Vitoria Guimaraes B unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Vitoria Guimaraes B or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCP 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Vitoria Guimaraes B scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira trailed or failed to win in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Vitoria Guimaraes B (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
VIT 1 of 5 (20%) · FCP 5 of 6 (83%)51.7%
Vitoria Guimaraes B won 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Pacos Ferreira lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 52% · won 3, refunded 4, lost 2
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Vitoria Guimaraes B: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 9 of 10 (90%)95%
Vitoria Guimaraes B: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
VITORIA GUIMARAES B GOALS
Vitoria Guimaraes B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCP 9 of 10 (90%)76.7%
Vitoria Guimaraes B scored in 3 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
FC PACOS FERREIRA GOALS
FC Pacos Ferreira Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
VIT 7 of 10 (70%) · FCP 3 of 5 (60%)68.3%
FC Pacos Ferreira scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria Guimaraes B conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
VIT 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 8 of 10 (80%)85%
Vitoria Guimaraes B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCP 8 of 10 (80%)81.7%
Vitoria Guimaraes B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.38
VIT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCP 8 of 10 (80%)75%
Vitoria Guimaraes B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VIT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCP 10 of 10 (100%)81.7%
Vitoria Guimaraes B's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · FC Pacos Ferreira's games: over 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (47%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw); Vitoria Guimaraes B or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.9%
Vitoria Guimaraes B goals →
FC Pacos Ferreira goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
VITORIA GUIMARAES BDDLDLLWDDL0.80 PPG
FC PACOS FERREIRALLDWLLLDDD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VITORIA GUIMARAES B HOMExFC PACOS FERREIRA AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME0.901.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS10%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%6.50CORNERS A GAME6.202.70CARDS A GAME3.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
34%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
VITORIA GUIMARAES B OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FC PACOS FERREIRA OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.