FKFAT

14:00Sun 11 Oct

MUG

MUG

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs Muglaspor

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

FKv

MUG

Under 3.5 Goals

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul v Muglaspor

Turkiye - 1. Lig · 14:00

1.32odds

76%book

+3edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul. The referee is Ali Yilmaz.

What's at stake. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul are 10th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Mardin 1969, 1 point clear of Sivasspor. A win would take them above Mardin 1969. Muglaspor are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Sivasspor, 1 point clear of Pendikspor. A win would take them above Sivasspor.

Form. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. Muglaspor have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.

The numbers. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul average 9.8 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Muglaspor score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Muglaspor average 9.9 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

The case against. Muglaspor's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul or the draw. A tight game. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 76% on the records (Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Muglaspor: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Leave: Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul Over 0.5 goals (Muglaspor's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul 1-1 Muglaspor (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.17

FAT 7 of 8 (88%) · MUG 4 of 8 (50%)66.4%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAT 7 of 8 (88%) · MUG 8 of 8 (100%)96.2%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAT 7 of 8 (88%) · MUG 8 of 8 (100%)90.4%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.32

FAT 7 of 8 (88%) · MUG 6 of 8 (75%)78.6%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

MUGLASPOR GOALS

Muglaspor Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

FAT 5 of 8 (62%) · MUG 6 of 8 (75%)72.4%

Muglaspor scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level

Muglaspor Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

FAT 5 of 8 (62%) · MUG 7 of 8 (88%)59.5%

Muglaspor scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

FAT 6 of 8 (75%) · MUG 6 of 8 (75%)75%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAT 6 of 8 (75%) · MUG 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Muglaspor's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul's level

Left off the list: Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul Over 0.5 goals (Muglaspor's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Fatih Karagumruk… goals →

Muglaspor goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FATIH KARAGUMRUK ISTANBULWWLWWDDLDW1.80 PPG

MUGLASPORDDLDDWWDDD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FATIH KARAGUMRUK ISTANBUL HOMExMUGLASPOR AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.901.20CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS50%12%FAILED TO SCORE38%3.70CORNERS A GAME4.201.40CARDS A GAME2.90

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

MUGLASPOR 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.38+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.12+3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

27%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FATIH KARAGUMRUK ISTANBUL OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

MUGLASPOR OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FATIH KARAGUMRUK ISTANBULxMUGLASPOR

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul have scored in 90% of their games.

Muglaspor have scored in 60% of their games.

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Muglaspor kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards