Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. ASC Ebolitana 1925 are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Brindisi, 1 point clear of Real Forio 2014. A win would take them above Brindisi. AC Martina are 3rd on 12 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Nocerina, level on points with Bisceglie. A win would take them above Nocerina.
Form. ASC Ebolitana 1925 have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. AC Martina have won four, drawn none and lost two of their last six, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. ASC Ebolitana 1925 score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. AC Martina score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. ASC Ebolitana 1925's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. AC Martina to win. AC Martina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Martina.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: ASC Ebolitana 1925 0-1 AC Martina (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).