SOSAR

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ACA

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs AC Afragolese

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Afragolese, level on points with Latte Dolce. A win would take them above Afragolese. AC Afragolese are 14th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Aranova, 1 point clear of Sarrabus Ogliastra. A win would take them above Aranova.

Form. Sarrabus Ogliastra have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. AC Afragolese have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D.

The numbers. Sarrabus Ogliastra score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Afragolese score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sarrabus Ogliastra or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Afragolese or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-1 AC Afragolese (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAR 6 of 6 (100%) · ACA 6 of 6 (100%)95.2%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAR 6 of 6 (100%) · ACA 6 of 6 (100%)87.9%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAR 5 of 6 (83%) · ACA 4 of 6 (67%)73.9%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

SAR 4 of 6 (67%) · ACA 4 of 6 (67%)52.2%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAR 6 of 6 (100%) · ACA 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · on half-time scores · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAR 5 of 6 (83%) · ACA 4 of 6 (67%)75%

Sarrabus Ogliastra: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Afragolese: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Sarrabus Ogliastra: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Sarrabus Ogliastra's level

Left off the list: Sarrabus Ogliastra or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Afragolese or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Sarrabus Ogliastra goals →

AC Afragolese goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 6

SARRABUS OGLIASTRALWLDDL0.83 PPG

AC AFRAGOLESEDDDWLL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SARRABUS OGLIASTRA HOMExAC AFRAGOLESE AWAY

0.83SCORED A GAME0.831.33CONCEDED A GAME1.1717%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE67%

TRENDS

Sarrabus Ogliastra failed to score in 33% of their games.

AC Afragolese failed to score in 67% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table