POPOL

14:00Sun 11 Oct

USV

Polisportiva Ossese vs US Venafro

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Polisportiva Ossese are 5th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Unipomezia, level on points with Trastevere. A win would take them above Unipomezia. US Venafro are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Latte Dolce, 3 points clear of Atletico Lodigiani. A win would take them above Latte Dolce.

Form. Polisportiva Ossese have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. US Venafro have won one, drawn one and lost four of their last six, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.

The numbers. Polisportiva Ossese score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. US Venafro score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.

The read. Polisportiva Ossese to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Polisportiva Ossese the likelier winners; Polisportiva Ossese are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Polisportiva Ossese. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Polisportiva Ossese or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Polisportiva Ossese or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Polisportiva Ossese 1-0 US Venafro (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Polisportiva Ossese or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 5 of 6 (83%) · USV 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%

Polisportiva Ossese: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

Polisportiva Ossese or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 5 of 6 (83%) · USV 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

Polisportiva Ossese: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

Polisportiva Ossese to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

POL 3 of 6 (50%) · USV 4 of 6 (67%)52.8%

Polisportiva Ossese won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 6 of 6 (100%) · USV 6 of 6 (100%)94.9%

Polisportiva Ossese: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 6 of 6 (100%) · USV 5 of 6 (83%)87.3%

Polisportiva Ossese: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

POLISPORTIVA OSSESE GOALS

Polisportiva Ossese Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 5 of 6 (83%) · USV 5 of 6 (83%)80.9%

Polisportiva Ossese scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

Left off the list: Polisportiva Ossese or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Polisportiva Ossese or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.2%

Polisportiva Ossese goals →

US Venafro goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 6

POLISPORTIVA OSSESEWWDLDW1.83 PPG

US VENAFROLDLLLW0.67 PPG

THE NUMBERS

POLISPORTIVA OSSESE HOMExUS VENAFRO AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.670.83CONCEDED A GAME1.6750%CLEAN SHEETS17%17%FAILED TO SCORE50%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

POLISPORTIVA OSSESE OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

US VENAFRO OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Polisportiva Ossese failed to score in 17% of their games.

US Venafro failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table