Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Atletico Lodigiani are 18th on 1 point after 6 games, 3 points behind Venafro. A win would take them level on points with Venafro. ASD Sarnese 1926 are 1st on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point clear of Monastir.
Form. Atletico Lodigiani have won none, drawn one and lost five of their last six, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. ASD Sarnese 1926 have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Atletico Lodigiani score 1.3 and concede 2.8 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets. ASD Sarnese 1926 score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last six, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Atletico Lodigiani have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2025, it finished Atletico Lodigiani 1-1 ASD Sarnese 1926.
The read. ASD Sarnese 1926 to win. An open game. ASD Sarnese 1926 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD Sarnese 1926. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); ASD Sarnese 1926 Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atletico Lodigiani 1-2 ASD Sarnese 1926 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).