Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 are 8th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Paganese, 2 points clear of Albalonga. A win would take them above Paganese. Unipomezia 1938 are 4th on 11 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Certosa V. Campagnano, level on points with Ossese. A win would take them above Certosa V. Campagnano.
Form. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Unipomezia 1938 have won three, drawn two and lost one of their last six, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Unipomezia 1938 score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last six, with two clean sheets.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 1-1 Unipomezia 1938 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).