CMCDM

11:00Sun 11 Oct

CFO

CD Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal 3, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.

What's at stake. CD Mafra are 4th on 7 points after 5 games, -2 points clear of Varzim. CF Os Belenenses are 1st on 15 points after 5 games, 5 points clear of Leça.

Form. CD Mafra have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. CF Os Belenenses have won five, drawn none and lost none of their last five, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. CD Mafra score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. CD Mafra average 13.6 shots (6.3 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.3 cards a game. CF Os Belenenses score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. CF Os Belenenses average 14.0 shots (5.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last six meetings CD Mafra have won none, drawn three and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and CF Os Belenenses won three. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished CD Mafra 1-3 CF Os Belenenses.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 65%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The read. No firm call: CF Os Belenenses are the better side, but not at this price. CF Os Belenenses are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Os Belenenses; the meetings favour CF Os Belenenses.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CD Mafra 1-1 CF Os Belenenses (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CF Os Belenenses or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · CFO 4 of 5 (80%)92.5%

CF Os Belenenses: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · CFO 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%

CD Mafra: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · CFO 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%

CD Mafra: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · CFO 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%

CD Mafra: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.32

CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · CFO 3 of 5 (60%)71.9%

CD Mafra: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.77

CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · CFO 2 of 5 (40%)51.4%

CD Mafra: both scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: both scored in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

CF OS BELENENSES GOALS

CF Os Belenenses Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · CFO 3 of 5 (60%)69.7%

CF Os Belenenses scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mafra conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · CFO 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

CD Mafra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CF Os Belenenses: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Mafra: only games against sides at CF Os Belenenses's level · CF Os Belenenses: only games against sides at CD Mafra's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

CD Mafra goals →

CF Os Belenenses goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 5

CD MAFRAWDLWL1.40 PPG

CF OS BELENENSESWWWWW3.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD MAFRA HOMExCF OS BELENENSES AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.601.00CONCEDED A GAME0.4040%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.10CORNERS A GAME4.903.30CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD MAFRA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

CF OS BELENENSES OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

CD MAFRA 0 · 0%DRAW 3CF OS BELENENSES 3 · 50%

6 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-08-26CD Mafra 1 – 1 CF Os Belenenses

2024-02-02CD Mafra 1 – 1 CF Os Belenenses

2025-08-09CD Mafra 1 – 1 CF Os Belenenses

2025-11-09CD Mafra 1 – 2 CF Os Belenenses

2026-03-22CD Mafra 1 – 4 CF Os Belenenses

2026-05-16CD Mafra 1 – 3 CF Os Belenenses

TRENDS

CD Mafra have scored in 100% of their games.

CF Os Belenenses have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Mafra failed to score in 0% of their games.

CF Os Belenenses failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards