Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Logrones B have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. UD Barbastro have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.
The numbers. UD Logrones B score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Logrones B average 14.0 shots (6.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. UD Barbastro score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD Barbastro average 10.1 shots (3.5 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 43% against the records' 20%.
The read. No firm call: UD Logrones B are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Logrones B the likelier winners; UD Logrones B are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Logrones B 1-0 UD Barbastro (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).