Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Deportivo Alaves B are 4th on 12 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Sestao River, 2 points clear of Portugalete. A win would take them above Sestao River. SD Gernika Club are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Basconia, 1 point clear of Amorebieta. A win would take them above Basconia.
Form. Deportivo Alaves B have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. SD Gernika Club have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. Deportivo Alaves B score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportivo Alaves B average 10.0 shots (3.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. SD Gernika Club score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. SD Gernika Club average 9.3 shots (3.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Deportivo Alaves B have won none, drawn three and lost five. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and SD Gernika Club won two. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Deportivo Alaves B 0-0 SD Gernika Club.
Where it pulls both ways. Deportivo Alaves B are the form side, but the meetings favour SD Gernika Club: in the last eight meetings, SD Gernika Club won five and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Alaves B 1-1 SD Gernika Club (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).