Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SCR Pena Deportiva are 18th on 1 point after 5 games, 2 points behind Real Murcia II. A win would take them above Real Murcia II. Orihuela CF are 11th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Elche II, 2 points clear of Lorca Deportiva. A win would take them above Elche II.
Form. SCR Pena Deportiva have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Orihuela CF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. SCR Pena Deportiva score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. SCR Pena Deportiva average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Orihuela CF score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Orihuela CF average 10.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings SCR Pena Deportiva have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2021, it finished SCR Pena Deportiva 1-1 Orihuela CF.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SCR Pena Deportiva or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Orihuela CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SCR Pena Deportiva 1-1 Orihuela CF (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).