Shonan Bellmare scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level
Match details. J2 League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.
Form. Shonan Bellmare have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. Albirex Niigata have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. Shonan Bellmare score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Shonan Bellmare average 8.4 shots (2.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Albirex Niigata score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Albirex Niigata average 10.1 shots (4.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Shonan Bellmare the likelier winners, but Albirex Niigata are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 76% on the records (Shonan Bellmare: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Albirex Niigata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Shonan Bellmare Over 0.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Albirex Niigata win or both teams score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Albirex Niigata (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).