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JAPAN - J2 LEAGUE
Shonan Bellmare crestSBSHO
10:00Sun 11 Oct
ALBAlbirex Niigata crestAN

Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata

CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Shonan Bellmare crestSBvAlbirex Niigata crestAN
Over 1.5 Goals
Shonan Bellmare v Albirex Niigata
Japan - J2 League · 10:00
1.36odds
74%book
+2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKShonan Bellmare Under 1.5 goals · 51.9% · @1.57
Book 64% · Us 52% -12 price too short
Backed by

Shonan Bellmare scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level

· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ

Match details. J2 League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.

Form. Shonan Bellmare have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. Albirex Niigata have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.

The numbers. Shonan Bellmare score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Shonan Bellmare average 8.4 shots (2.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Albirex Niigata score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Albirex Niigata average 10.1 shots (4.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Shonan Bellmare the likelier winners, but Albirex Niigata are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 76% on the records (Shonan Bellmare: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Albirex Niigata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Shonan Bellmare Over 0.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Albirex Niigata win or both teams score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Albirex Niigata (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.36
SHO 5 of 7 (71%) · ALB 5 of 7 (71%)75.8%
Shonan Bellmare: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.84
SHO 5 of 7 (71%) · ALB 4 of 7 (57%)53.7%
Shonan Bellmare: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level
SHONAN BELLMARE GOALS
Shonan Bellmare Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.28
SHO 6 of 7 (86%) · ALB 5 of 7 (71%)80.2%
Shonan Bellmare scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level
Shonan Bellmare Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
SHO 5 of 7 (71%) · ALB 4 of 7 (57%)51.9%
Shonan Bellmare scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Albirex Niigata conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level
ALBIREX NIIGATA GOALS
Albirex Niigata Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
SHO 6 of 7 (86%) · ALB 5 of 7 (71%)66.2%
Albirex Niigata scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shonan Bellmare conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Albirex Niigata: only games against sides at Shonan Bellmare's level · Shonan Bellmare: only games against sides at Albirex Niigata's level
Left off the list: Albirex Niigata win or both teams score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.5%
Shonan Bellmare goals →
Albirex Niigata goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
SHONAN BELLMAREDWDLDWDWDL1.40 PPG
ALBIREX NIIGATAWLWWLWWDLW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SHONAN BELLMARE HOMExALBIREX NIIGATA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.44CORNERS A GAME3.601.78CARDS A GAME0.60
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME2.00+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12-5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SHONAN BELLMARE OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
ALBIREX NIIGATA OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SHONAN BELLMARExALBIREX NIIGATA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Shonan Bellmare have scored in 80% of their games.
Albirex Niigata have scored in 70% of their games.
Shonan Bellmare kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Albirex Niigata kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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