Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Atletico Madrid B are 12th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Real Madrid II, level on points with Sant Andreu. A win would take them above Real Madrid II. Real Zaragoza are 1st on 15 points after 6 games, 1 point clear of Villarreal II.
Form. Atletico Madrid B have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Real Zaragoza have won five, drawn none and lost one of their last six, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Atletico Madrid B score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Atletico Madrid B average 12.0 shots (5.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Real Zaragoza score two and concede one a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Real Zaragoza average 11.2 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. Atletico Madrid B's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Real Zaragoza to win. Real Zaragoza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Zaragoza.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Zaragoza Over 0.5 Goals (Atletico Madrid B's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Real Zaragoza to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atletico Madrid B 1-2 Real Zaragoza (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Real Zaragoza or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Real Zaragoza: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level
Real Zaragoza or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Real Zaragoza: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level
Double Chance: Draw or Real ZaragozaIN CODES
1.36
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Real Zaragoza unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B failed to win 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
Atletico Madrid B: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Atletico Madrid B: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Atletico Madrid B: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Atletico Madrid B: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level
Left off the list: Real Zaragoza Over 0.5 Goals (Atletico Madrid B's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Real Zaragoza to Win (the numbers (42%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29%
Atletico Madrid B goals →
Real Zaragoza goals ↓
0-06%
1-06%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 6
ATLETICO MADRID BDWWDLL1.33 PPG
REAL ZARAGOZALWWWWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MADRID B HOMExREAL ZARAGOZA AWAY
1.83SCORED A GAME2.001.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0050%CLEAN SHEETS50%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.89CORNERS A GAME6.222.33CARDS A GAME3.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME2.50+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.06LEAGUE GAMES6
Real Zaragoza: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
REAL ZARAGOZA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 85/90
ATLETICO MADRID B OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
REAL ZARAGOZA OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO MADRID BxREAL ZARAGOZA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico Madrid B have scored in 70% of their games.
Real Zaragoza have scored in 70% of their games.
Atletico Madrid B failed to score in 17% of their games.
Real Zaragoza failed to score in 17% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards