Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda.
What's at stake. CF Rayo Majadahonda are 18th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Teruel, level on points with Europa Fc. A win would take them above Teruel. Real Murcia CF are 5th on 12 points after 6 games, level on points with Real Jaén, 1 point clear of FC Cartagena. A win would take them above Real Jaén.
Form. CF Rayo Majadahonda have won one, drawn one and lost four of their last six, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. Real Murcia CF have won four, drawn none and lost two of their last six, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. CF Rayo Majadahonda score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CF Rayo Majadahonda average 8.8 shots (2.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Real Murcia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Murcia CF average 12.3 shots (5.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 39% against the records' 67%.
The read. No firm call: Real Murcia CF are the better side, but not at this price. Real Murcia CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Murcia CF.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CF Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Real Murcia CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).