Sliema Wanderers vs Gzira United FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola.
What's at stake. Sliema Wanderers are 7th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Hamrun Spartans, 1 point clear of Balzan FC. A win would take them above Hamrun Spartans. Gzira United FC are 11th on 1 point after 5 games, 4 points behind Hibernians, level on points with Birzebbuga.
Form. Sliema Wanderers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Gzira United FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Sliema Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sliema Wanderers average 7.6 shots (2.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Gzira United FC score 0.8 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Gzira United FC average 7.8 shots (2.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sliema Wanderers have won five, drawn two and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Sliema Wanderers won two, one was drawn and Gzira United FC won one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Gzira United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Sliema Wanderers to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sliema Wanderers the likelier winners; Sliema Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sliema Wanderers; the meetings favour Sliema Wanderers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Sliema Wanderers or Draw at 1.19, 79% on the records (Sliema Wanderers unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Gzira United FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Sliema Wanderers are a clear winner, no Unders); Sliema Wanderers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Gzira United FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).