PCPON

15:30Sun 11 Oct

MER

Pontevedra CF vs Merida AD

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Pontevedra CF are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Real Unión, level on points with Deportivo La Coruña II. A win would take them above Real Unión. Merida AD are 15th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Unionistas de Salamanca, level on points with Barakaldo. A win would take them above Unionistas de Salamanca.

Form. Pontevedra CF have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Merida AD have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Pontevedra CF score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Pontevedra CF average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Merida AD score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Merida AD average 12.9 shots (4.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Pontevedra CF have won none, drawn two and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 23 Jan 2026, it finished Pontevedra CF 1-1 Merida AD.

The case against. Merida AD's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Pontevedra CF to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pontevedra CF the likelier winners; Pontevedra CF are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pontevedra CF 1-0 Merida AD (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PON 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 8 of 10 (80%)95.1%

Pontevedra CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PON 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 8 of 10 (80%)87.7%

Pontevedra CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

PONTEVEDRA CF GOALS

Pontevedra CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PON 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 8 of 10 (80%)78.7%

Pontevedra CF scored in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

PON 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 7 of 10 (70%)84.3%

Pontevedra CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PON 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 7 of 9 (78%)76.7%

Pontevedra CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.7%

Pontevedra CF goals →

Merida AD goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PONTEVEDRA CFDWLDWWLDDL1.30 PPG

MERIDA ADLLDWWLLLLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PONTEVEDRA CF HOMExMERIDA AD AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.89CORNERS A GAME4.562.78CARDS A GAME3.78

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.66LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

31%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 85/90

PONTEVEDRA CF OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

MERIDA AD OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PONTEVEDRA CFxMERIDA AD

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME2.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.010.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

PONTEVEDRA CF 0 · 0%DRAW 2MERIDA AD 2 · 50%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-10-01Pontevedra CF 0 – 2 Merida AD

2023-04-15Pontevedra CF 1 – 5 Merida AD

2025-11-15Pontevedra CF 1 – 1 Merida AD

2026-01-23Pontevedra CF 1 – 1 Merida AD

TRENDS

Pontevedra CF have scored in 70% of their games.

Merida AD have scored in 60% of their games.

Pontevedra CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Merida AD kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards