US Hostert vs FC Progres Niederkorn
Match details. Division Nationale, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Jos Becker, Hostert.
What's at stake. US Hostert are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, 4 points behind Résidence Walferdange, 4 points clear of AS Jeunesse Esch. FC Progres Niederkorn are 5th on 16 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Racing FC Union Luxembourg, 1 point clear of UN Kaerjeng 97. A win would take them above Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
Form. US Hostert have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. FC Progres Niederkorn have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. US Hostert score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Hostert average 11.0 shots (6.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FC Progres Niederkorn score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings US Hostert have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Progres Niederkorn won four. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished US Hostert 1-5 FC Progres Niederkorn.
The case against. US Hostert's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. FC Progres Niederkorn to win. An open game. FC Progres Niederkorn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Progres Niederkorn; the meetings favour FC Progres Niederkorn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (US Hostert: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; FC Progres Niederkorn: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: FC Progres Niederkorn win or both teams score at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Progres Niederkorn or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); US Hostert Under 1.5 goals (US Hostert's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: US Hostert 1-2 FC Progres Niederkorn (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).