FC Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange
FC Etzella Ettelbruck scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · F91 Dudelange conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Etzella Ettelbruck: only games against sides at F91 Dudelange's level · F91 Dudelange: only games against sides at FC Etzella Ettelbruck's level
Match details. Division Nationale, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Am Deich, Ettelbruck.
What's at stake. FC Etzella Ettelbruck are 14th on 5 points after 8 games, level on points with Victoria Rosport, 1 point clear of Wiltz. A win would take them above Victoria Rosport. F91 Dudelange are 11th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with AS Jeunesse Esch, 1 point clear of US Rumelange. A win would take them above AS Jeunesse Esch.
Form. FC Etzella Ettelbruck have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. F91 Dudelange have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. FC Etzella Ettelbruck score 0.7 and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. FC Etzella Ettelbruck average 9.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. F91 Dudelange score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Head to head. F91 Dudelange have won all of the last eight meetings. Seven of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, F91 Dudelange won four. The last time they met, on 19 Mar 2023, it finished FC Etzella Ettelbruck 2-5 F91 Dudelange.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last eight meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FC Etzella Ettelbruck's record still gives them 21% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. F91 Dudelange to win. An open game. F91 Dudelange are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour F91 Dudelange; the meetings favour F91 Dudelange. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Seven of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 75% on the records (FC Etzella Ettelbruck: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8; F91 Dudelange: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); F91 Dudelange Over 0.5 goals (F91 Dudelange's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Etzella Ettelbruck 1-2 F91 Dudelange (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).